Module 10 · AAPL operating system

Unlock the rest of the Apple tape.

Services mix, the subscription S-curve, cash versus buybacks, the P&L funnel — wired to the Apple 10-K and the open feed.

AAPL mix · Services compounding

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FY2025 · iPhone 50.1% · Mac 7.9% · iPad 6.4% · Watch 9.4% · Services 26.2% · $416B

Cash balance / returned capital ($B)

FCF, last print

+$0B

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FY2025 · cash $157B · buybacks $99B · capex $9.6B

Pipeline expansion · product development platform

ResearchDesignProductionLaunch

iPhone

iPhone 16 cycle · iPhone 17 production · Next silicon + camera

Silicon

M4 in market · M5 design / tape-out

Intelligence

Apple Intelligence 1.0 · On-device models 2.x

Vision / spatial

Vision Pro 1 · Vision line expansion

Key figures

Live market cap
$0.00T
Services mix, FY2025
0.0%
Free cash flow
$0B

FY2025 AAPL revenue mix

IPHONE 50%SERVICES 26%Services26.2%

Hover a wedge. Services is the slice this desk watches.

Paid relationships

The flywheel does not do linear.

3.15Best.

1B2B3BServices word of mouthSubscriptions become mainstreamIntelligence becomes the default270M1B1.85B3.15BFY14FY16FY18FY20FY22FY24FY26EFY28E

Apple paid subscriptions. Disclosed through 1.0B (2023). FY24–FY28E are desk estimates — Services growth plus Intelligence attach. Hover to read a year; click to pin.

Competitive brand analysis

Where Apple sits among the five.

NameStrengthWeaknessStrategy

Apple

$313.45 +1.1%

Installed base, mix shift to Services, cash machine.Hardware cycle risk. AI perceived as late.Own the device, tax the services layer.

Microsoft

$496.37 +0.9%

Azure + Office compounding. OpenAI distribution.Consumer hardware still a hobby.Sit in the enterprise workflow.

Alphabet

$342.00 -1.4%

Search cash, YouTube, Android reach.AI is eating the query. Regulation.Defend the query, sell the cloud.

Amazon

$260.28 -0.3%

AWS + retail logistics flywheel.Retail margin is thin. Ads are the patch.Cloud funds everything else.

NVIDIA

$209.66 -1.6%

The pick-and-shovel of the AI buildout.Customer concentration. Cycle risk.Sell the factory that makes intelligence.

Positioning map

Multiple vs tape heat.

Bid / momentum ↑Offer / lag ↓← Cheap multipleRich multiple →AAPLMSFTGOOGLAMZNNVDA

AAPL · P/E 36.1 · session +1.1%

AAPL revenue and profit

How much of an Apple dollar survives.

TOTAL REVENUE$416.2B · 100%46.9%GROSS PROFIT$195.2B · 47%74.1%EBITDA$144.7B · 35%91.9%EBIT$133.1B · 32%100.5%EBT$133.7B · 32%83.8%NET INCOME$112.0B · 27%
20182019202020212022202320242025

Dynamics of marginality

Profit per share

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Diluted EPS (gold) vs FCF per share (green).

Operating system · AAPL mix + mega-cap tape

NVDA51iPhone50AAPL46GOOGL41MSFT37AMZN28Services26Watch9Mac7.9%iPad6.4%

Last print

$313.45

+1.1%

Volume

34.0M

session

VIX

15.2

vol regime

Session

CLOSED

closed

Daily visitor analog · AAPL tape

$311.78

Traffic analog · |ΔP| × volume

34.0M

Uptime · session flags, last 90 weekly prints

99.9%

Where a AAPL revenue dollar goes

AAPL mix → cash.

iPhoneMaciPadWatchServicesFree cash flowReinvestedTax + other

FY2025 revenue $416B · cash $157B · debt $97B

Mega-cap threat / opportunity

Bubbles sized by cap, placed by multiple.

P/E →AAPLMSFTGOOGLAMZNNVDA

Hover a name. Size is market cap. X is P/E.

Monitored path · OLS ensemble

What eight Apple prints project, rebased to the tape.

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